PROJECTIONS AND ANALYSES

The Basics of POLIS
(Projective Optimization Land Use Information System)

April 1991, 23 pages. Presents a step-by-step approach to understanding ABAG's POLIS allocation model. Written for the informed reader who wants to understand the basics of POLIS without having to decipher the rigorous terminology associated with academic writing.

Price:
$45 + $3 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P91007PRO

If ordered in combination with POLIS report
CAT. NO. P84002PRO, the total price for both reports is $80 + $5 postage and handling
FOR BOTH: P91013PRO

Bay Area Futures - Where Will We Live and Work?

November 1997, 42 pages.This ULI, ABAG, and Bay Area Council report examines how the region's land use patterns are evolving and provide forecasts of future growth in each of four subregions: South Bay, West Bay, East Bay, and North Bay.

Price:
$15 + $4 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P97010PRO

Blueprint 2001, Housing Element Ideas and Solutions
for a Sustainable and Affordable Future

March 2001, 283 pages. Handbook for revising housing elements to increase supply and improve the affordability of Bay Area housing. Co-sponsored by ABAG, Bay Area Council, Greenbelt Alliance, Home Builders Assn of No. California, Non-Profit Housing Assn of No. California, California Affordable Housing Law Project.

Price:
$30 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P01001PLN

Building Sustainable Communities: Housing Solutions for Silicon Valley

November 1999, 27 pages, 23 maps. Produced by the Silicon Valley Manufacturing Group and the Greenbelt Alliance and sponsored by several agencies and ABAG, this report focuses on land supply and potential housing yield in the 21 core cities.

Price:
$20 + $4 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P99001PLN

CEFS: A County Employment Forecasting System
for the San Francisco Bay Area

August 1994, 50 pages. CEFS documents the multiple regression equations ABAG uses to predict employment for counties. The report also discusses how the modelling system was designed. CEFS generates employment, payroll, and income forecasts for Bay Area counties.

Price:
$45 + $3 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P94008PRO

County Business Patterns

Data for nine Bay Area counties adjusted for changes in SIC codes to create consistent time series.
1972-1994 - Data by county. Call 510-464-7925 for price quote.
1981-1997 - Data by zip code. Call 510-464-7925 for price quote.

1964-1991 - Printout.
Price:
$100 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P90008PRO

2000 Countywide Census Tract Base Maps

Color maps include numbered tract boundaries with freeways, highways, and major local streets labeled for each of the nine Bay Area counties. Additional map features include incorporated jurisdictions, unincorporated areas that correspond to ABAG's Subregional Study Areas, urbanized footprint (shown as gray shaded areas), major water bodies, and elevation levels. Map scale and sheet size varies. Typically county maps are at a scale of 1:60,000 [1"=approximately 1 mile], and sized to fit on 36" x 54" landscape or portrait size sheets.

Census Tract Map-Region $150 Census Tract Map-Alameda County $75 Census Tract Map-Contra Costa County $75 Census Tract Map-Marin County $75 Census Tract Map-Napa County $75 Census Tract Map-San Francisco County $75 Census Tract Map-San Mateo County $75 Census Tract Map-Santa Clara County $75 Census Tract Map-Solano County $75 Census Tract Map-Sonoma County $75

EXISTING LAND USE
Existing Land Use in 2005: Data for Bay Area Counties

January 2006, 44 pages. Includes data for the region and 9 counties for over 60 land use categories. ABAG's most detailed land database, which can also be obtained in electronic form for city planning areas, census tracts or as a GIS layer.

Price:
$100 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P06001EQK

*GIS File Price: $5000/Entire Region CAT. NO. P06003EQK

Existing Land Use in 2000:
Data for San Francisco Bay Area Cities and Counties

December 2002, 42 pages. Includes data for the region and 9 counties for over 60 land use categories. ABAG's most detailed land database, which can also be obtained in electronic form for city planning areas, census tracts or as a GIS layer.

GIS files are Special order items: call (510)464-7934 or email jeannep@abag.ca.gov to order.

GIS files are Special order items: call (510)464-7934 or email jeannep@abag.ca.gov to order.

A Forecast of Taxable Sales in the Bay Area, 2001 - 2004

June 2002, ABAG's forecast of taxable sales for each of the nine Bay Area counties and is prepared using a linear regression model that incorporates 30 years of past data along with ABAG predictions of employment, inflation, income, and population for the forcast period.

Price:
$25 + $3 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P02030PRO

Regional Economic Outlook 2008-09: Just Another Bump in the Road?

January 2008; 75 pages. Reprints of viewgraphs and handouts from the annual regional economic conference.

Price:
$25 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P08005PRO

Price:
$25
CAT. NO. P08006PRO

HENRY - A Regional Simulation System
for Demographic-Economic Modeling

October 2003, 49 pages. The HENRY model is an analysis and simulation tool that assists in regional planning and forecasting for the San Francisco Bay Area. It serves the dual purposes of allowing us to explicitly describe the assumed values and relationships that drive our economic modeling, and to use those relationships to create forecasts and scenarios.

Price:
$25 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P03014PRO

Home Town Blues

May 1999, 29-minute video. Documentary addressing the San Francisco Bay Area's housing and growth crisis. Explores quality of life issues - affordable housing, transportation, the environment - that affect Bay Area residents and poses possible solutions.

Price:
$10 + $3 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P99010PLN

Housing Needs Determination

June 2001, 49 pages in print version with appendices included on CD. Final determinations of San Francisco Bay Area regional housing needs for the 2001-2006 cycle as defined by California State law. Defines the housing unit allocations for each city and county, including units needed by household income category.

Price:
$10 + $3 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P01002PLN

2001 Input-Output Model: Economic Multipliers for the San Francisco Bay Region

March 2004, 20 pages. This report presents a multi-sector I/O model for the San Francisco Bay Region. It includes employment and income multipliers associated with the industry sectors, and it shows examples of how to use them.

Price:
Price: $45 plus $3 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P04016PRO

Interdependence, The Changing Dynamic between Cities and Suburbs
in the San Francisco Bay Area

November 1996, 62 pages. This report concludes that regional prosperity ultimately hinges on central city vitality.

Price:
$20
CAT. NO. P96001PLN

Inter-Regional Commuting in Northern California

January 1999, 27 pages. This report describes how commuting patterns have changed in Northern California and forecasts growth in future commuting trends to the year 2020.

Price:
$20
CAT. NO. P99021PRO

Making Better Communities by Linking Land Use and Transportation

April 1997, 38 pages. This guidebook demonstrates how local leaders can encourage more transit- oriented, pedestrian-and- bicycle-friendly neighborhoods and communities. Provides a broad range of choices to consider.

Price:
$15
CAT. NO. P97001PLN

One Way Out of the Jam: Transit-Oriented Development

September 1998, 12:20 minute video, 3-page handout. The video focuses on developments in various stages of completion in four Bay Area communities: Oakland's Fruitvale neighborhood, Hayward, Mountain View and San Jose.

Price:
$5 + $3 postage and handling
CAT NO. P98011PLN

A Place to Call Home: Housing in the San Francisco Bay Area 2007

June 2007, 40 pages, Emphasizes the importance of encouraging housing development in existing communities and near transit. Report presents some of the best practices and tools that local communities are using to promote housing in these locations and also documents local government progress in meeting housing targets established for 1999-2006 as part of the Regional Housing Needs Allocation process.

Price:
$20 + $4 postage and handling
CAT NO. P07001PLN

POLIS, The Land Use Information and Transportation System
for the San Francisco Bay Area

January 1995, 45 pages. Discusses the mathematical framework of the Projective Optimization Land Use Information System and its empirical estimation in the Bay Area. POLIS is used to provide land use, employment, housing and population forecasts for the subregional areas in the Bay Area.

Price:
$45 + $3 postage and handling
CAT NO. P95001PRO

If ordered in combination with The Basics of POLIS report, CAT. NO. P91007PRO, the total price for both reports is $80 + $5 postage and handling
FOR BOTH: P91013PRO

Projections 2007

Projections 2007 December 2006, approximately 250 pages with CD of data files. Using Smart Growth principles, PROJECTIONS 2007 forecasts population, employment, income, and households for the San Francisco Bay Area for 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025, 2030, and 2035. Included are data for the region, nine counties, and over 100 cities. PROJECTIONS 2007 provides insight into the region's economy. It also includes labor force and age projections by county. Projections 2007 available late December.

Price: $225 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P07001PRO (Printed)

Price: $225 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P07003PRO (CD-rom)

Projections 2007 by County

PROJECTIONS 2007 by county forecasts population, employment, income, and households for the San Francisco Bay Area for 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035. Zip file containing data in Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and text in PDF files. Available only as a download. All downloads will include data on the region as well as the county ordered.

These are .zip files. You will need to download winzip or another zip zip utility in order to open the zip file and 'unzip' the excel and pdf files inside, putting them on your hard drive.

Price: $75/county (non-taxable)

Projections 2007 by County for Alameda County $75 Projections 2007 by County for Contra Costa County $75 Projections 2007 by County for Marin County $75 Projections 2007 by County for Napa County $75 Projections 2007 by County for San Francisco County $75 Projections 2007 by County for San Mateo County $75 Projections 2007 by County for Santa Clara County $75 Projections 2007 by County for Solano County $75 Projections 2007 by County for Sonoma County $75

Projections 2007 by Census Tract

Population, households, age, income, employment and land use data forecasts through 2035 for each of the Bay Area’s 1405 census tracts. Data is in Microsoft Excel spreadsheets.

Projections 2007 by Census Tract for entire Region $2000 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for Alameda County $375 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for Contra Costa County $250 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for Marin County $160 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for Napa County $130 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for San Francisco County $250 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for San Mateo County $240 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for Santa Clara County $395 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for Solano County $180 Projections 2007 by Census Tract for Sonoma County $180

Projections 2007 Symposium Handouts

Also called "Becoming a Network of Neighborhoods" (reproductions of viewgraphs), December 2006, approximately 100 pages.

Projections 2003 Technical Appendix

Projections 2003 Techincal Appendix:  Economic  Assumptions and Land Use Policy Assumptions Underlying Projections 2003. July 2003, 38 pages.

Price: $35 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P030013PRO

Projections 2005

Projections 2005 December 2004, approximately 290 pages and maps with CD. Using Smart Growth principles, PROJECTIONS 2005 forecasts population, employment, income, and households for the San Francisco Bay Area for 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025, and 2030. Included are data for the region, nine counties, and over 100 cities. PROJECTIONS 2005 provides insight into the region's economy as well as county labor force and age distributions.

Price: $100 (new low price) + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P05001PRO (Printed)

Price: $100 (new low price) + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P05003PRO (CD-rom)

Projections 2007 by Zip Code - Region

Population, households, age, income, employment and land use data forecasts through 2035 for each of the Bay Area’s 285 zip codes. Data is in Microsoft Excel spreadsheets.

Price:
$300. Excel spreadsheet. Download
CAT. NO. P07018PRO

Projections 2002

December 2001, 285 pages with diskette. Forecasts population, employment, income, and households for the San Francisco Bay Area for 1990, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020 and 2025. Also included are details on the region’s economy, labor force, and age distribution.
Disk: ______ PC ______ MAC

Price:
Discounted $100 + $5 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P02001PRO

Subarea Projections Model (SAM): Allocating Employment and Population, Projecting Household Income, and Land Use Accounting

February 1993, 45 pages. Documents the methods and implementation of ABAG’s subcounty activity allocation. It covers census tracts and other subareas.

Price:
$45 + $3 postage and handling
CAT. NO. P93002PRO